Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.182015 0.210738 0.242502 0.280232 0.323835 0.372653 0.431477
2025-09-07 0.136953 0.175463 0.222481 0.284121 0.362845 0.460103 0.589539
2025-09-14 0.109172 0.150026 0.203446 0.278426 0.381053 0.516783 0.710292
2025-09-21 0.091473 0.133106 0.190674 0.276111 0.399849 0.572857 0.833782
2025-09-28 0.079787 0.122002 0.183270 0.278701 0.423851 0.636811 0.974033
2025-10-05 0.073516 0.117513 0.184193 0.292648 0.464995 0.728999 1.165695
2025-10-12 0.067336 0.112084 0.182639 0.302021 0.499480 0.814093 1.355670
2025-10-19 0.061733 0.106686 0.180207 0.309246 0.530737 0.896740 1.550486
2025-10-26 0.056171 0.100540 0.175636 0.312033 0.554415 0.968830 1.735083
2025-11-02 0.050370 0.093192 0.168045 0.308465 0.566290 1.021508 1.891104
2025-11-09 0.044415 0.084795 0.157576 0.298355 0.564986 1.050329 2.006603
2025-11-16 0.041553 0.081742 0.156324 0.304871 0.594664 1.137736 2.239814
2025-11-23 0.038173 0.077375 0.152280 0.305895 0.614573 1.210099 2.454824
2025-11-30 0.035514 0.074112 0.149986 0.310077 0.641159 1.298223 2.711585
2025-12-07 0.032047 0.068776 0.142972 0.303863 0.645932 1.343506 2.886019
2025-12-14 0.029351 0.064712 0.138052 0.301336 0.657883 1.404297 3.099378
2025-12-21 0.027432 0.062083 0.135799 0.304163 0.681416 1.491454 3.379057
2025-12-28 0.026735 0.062056 0.139073 0.319385 0.733643 1.645269 3.823360
2026-01-04 0.025664 0.061053 0.140086 0.329614 0.775753 1.781231 4.242562
2026-01-11 0.024492 0.059673 0.140092 0.337499 0.813289 1.910752 4.661399
2026-01-18 0.023076 0.057546 0.138144 0.340542 0.839707 2.017376 5.037670
2026-01-25 0.021338 0.054431 0.133539 0.336647 0.848919 2.084408 5.324788
2026-02-01 0.019336 0.050428 0.126369 0.325614 0.839258 2.104952 5.497966